Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.568064 0.628808 0.694383 0.770608 0.856992 0.952099 1.065073
2025-09-07 0.471196 0.554879 0.652141 0.774283 0.924616 1.104939 1.339628
2025-09-14 0.408585 0.500929 0.613596 0.762624 0.956729 1.203982 1.547637
2025-09-21 0.365269 0.462277 0.585288 0.754953 0.986424 1.296409 1.751978
2025-09-28 0.323532 0.419965 0.546092 0.726072 0.981163 1.337349 1.886182
2025-10-05 0.304986 0.405693 0.541428 0.741684 1.036460 1.465691 2.159773
2025-10-12 0.288143 0.391725 0.535138 0.753198 1.085470 1.588440 2.439432
2025-10-19 0.271718 0.376641 0.525451 0.757969 1.123636 1.697344 2.710058
2025-10-26 0.257130 0.362821 0.516081 0.761689 1.159531 1.805246 2.992345
2025-11-02 0.245262 0.351943 0.509925 0.769295 1.201575 1.926726 3.314362
2025-11-09 0.228698 0.332753 0.489548 0.752203 1.200557 1.973988 3.505696
2025-11-16 0.219707 0.324464 0.485299 0.760671 1.243177 2.101562 3.867808
2025-11-23 0.208185 0.311651 0.473253 0.755563 1.262377 2.190411 4.170484
2025-11-30 0.199343 0.302514 0.466467 0.758791 1.296762 2.311591 4.560275
2025-12-07 0.188449 0.289347 0.452087 0.747418 1.302786 2.378156 4.842305
2025-12-14 0.179214 0.278314 0.440487 0.739929 1.315151 2.458263 5.167431
2025-12-21 0.167052 0.261732 0.418434 0.711727 1.284681 2.446995 5.277076
2025-12-28 0.163253 0.258967 0.419913 0.726973 1.341282 2.624746 5.874063
2026-01-04 0.159029 0.255204 0.419349 0.738215 1.390741 2.793052 6.479930
2026-01-11 0.154050 0.249837 0.415559 0.742873 1.426855 2.935948 7.047474
2026-01-18 0.149239 0.244489 0.411444 0.746505 1.461020 3.078493 7.643017
2026-01-25 0.145265 0.240398 0.409347 0.753931 1.504059 3.247418 8.349640
2026-02-01 0.138240 0.230476 0.395869 0.737244 1.491849 3.280439 8.660890